Astros, Cubs wrap set at Wrigley Field

Baseball Betting Lines

09/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Houston Astros have to be thinking about returning home for an extended period of time. But first they have to take care of business in the Windy City, as the Astros shoot for a series win over the Chicago Cubs tonight in the finale of a three-game set from Wrigley Field.

The Astros will begin a 10-game homestand following Wednesday's tilt with the NL Central-rival Cubs and are coming off last night's 7-3 win in which outfielder Michael Bourn contributed three hits, including a triple, three RBI and two runs scored. Brett Wallace homered for Houston, which rebounded from Monday's series-opening loss to win for the sixth time in eight tries.

Nelson Figueroa turned in five solid innings on the hill, allowing six hits and three runs while fanning five and walking three for the win. The righty threw 111 pitches, 76 for strikes.

"Figgy worked through those five innings, but had to use a lot of pitches to do it," Astros manager Brad Mills said.

Before the 'Stros close out a six-game trek through Arizona and Chicago, Brett Myers will toe the Wrigley rubber this evening with hopes of continuing his career dominance of the Cubs. Myers is 2-0 in three starts against them this season and 9-3 with a 2.38 earned run average in 16 lifetime matchups (12 starts) with Chicago.

The right-hander has won his last two decisions, but did not factor in the outcome of Friday's 4-3 loss at the Diamondbacks. Myers allowed three runs, seven hits and walked three batters over six innings to remain at 10-7 this season with a 3.02 ERA in 28 starts. He is only 4-7 in 16 road starts in his first season with the Astros.

Chicago entered Tuesday's second portion of this series having won four of five games. However, starter Carlos Silva wasn't so sharp in his first action since August 1 because of a heart condition and was touched for six runs and nine hits in five innings of work.

"It's late, but you hope he'll go through more activity and his arm strength will be better," Cubs manager Mike Quade said of Silva.

Tyler Colvin finished with two hits and a pair of RBI, while Marlon Byrd drove in the other run for the Cubs, who will hit the road for nine games against Milwaukee, St. Louis and Florida after hosting the Astros.

Randy Wells will try to send Chicago on the road in positive fashion when takes the mound Wednesday. Wells is 6-12 with a 4.56 earned run average in 28 starts this season and is coming off a no-decision versus the New York Mets last Friday. In the 7-6 victory at home, Wells allowed four runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings.

Wells, a righty, is just 1-5 in his past six decisions and looks to build on his 3-7 home mark in 16 starts. He has lost both matchups with the Astros this season and owns a 2-2 record in five career starts against them.

Houston has got the better of the Cubs for much of this season, having taken nine of 14 meetings between the clubs in 2010.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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